Story
Founder wired $70M out of SVB into his personal account mid-bank-run
During the SVB bank run, Suleman was at an SV Angel founder event where one founder told him he wired $70M out of his SVB business account into his personal Morgan Stanley account that morning, because opening a new business-name account would have taken 24-48 hours he didn't have.
“One guy told me that he wired $70 million out of his SVB accounts that morning into his personal Morgan Stanley account because he didn't want to wait for a bank account in the business name to open because that would take 24, 48 hours, which literally in normal circumstances that would be maybe not illegal, but hugely frowned upon. Definitely ill-advised.”
Number
25% of SVB's $180B in deposits was wired out in a single day
SVB held roughly $180 billion in deposits, and customers tried to wire out about 25 cents on every dollar in one day.
$180000M
SVB total deposits · USD
“Yeah, something like $180 billion in deposits. So about 25%, 25 cents on every dollar was tried to be wired out in one day.”
Number
SVB lost $42B in one day vs $17B over 10 days for the prior record bank failure
Suleman contrasts the speed of the SVB run with the previous largest US bank failure: Washington Mutual lost $17B in withdrawals over 10 days in 2008, while SVB saw $42B attempted withdrawn in a single day in 2023.
$42000M
Attempted single-day withdrawals during SVB bank run · USD/day
“the biggest bank failure in American history is Washington Mutual in 2008. And in 2008, $17 billion was removed from Washington— withdrawn from Washington Mutual in 10 days.. And in Silicon Valley Bank, it was $42 billion in one day on Thursday. So just the speed with which business happens is like, you know, so much faster now.”
Framework
Peter Thiel: the best startups have one revenue source, not eight
Per Suleman, Marc Andreessen often cited Peter Thiel's rule that great startups have a single clear revenue stream early on (e.g. Facebook with ads), not eight stacked sources like ads plus business plus customer revenue you see in pitch decks.
“Peter Thiel says the best startups have one source of revenue, uh, not 8 sources of revenue. I'm sure you've seen this in startup pitch decks where they're like, we're going to generate revenue from ads, plus we're going to generate revenue from businesses, plus we're going to generate revenue from these customers. Um, so having like 8 different revenue streams is much worse than we're Facebook, we're going to generate revenue from ads, one single clear revenue source in the beginning.”
Steal thisPick one clear revenue source for your startup at launch instead of stacking many.
Number
Allbirds market cap fell 95%, from $4B at IPO to $200M
Allbirds, which raised $200-300M and did $300M in revenue, is down 95% from its November 2021 IPO valuation of $4 billion to a $200 million market cap.
$200M
Allbirds market cap (down from $4B at IPO) · USD
“It's $200 million right now. Yep. Yeah. Down 95% from their IPO in November of 2021, from $4 billion to $200 million.”
Story
Allbirds' 58-store retail bet failed because nobody knew the brand
Suleman breaks down Allbirds' unraveling: shrinking revenue, high costs, and a 58-store retail expansion that flopped because not enough people knew the brand to walk in and buy. They're now halting store and international growth and moving manufacturing from New Zealand to Vietnam to cut costs.
“They've opened up a ton of stores, like 58 stores in the US and abroad. And I think that store strategy isn't working because not enough people know what Allbirds are and walk into the stores and want some. Um, so they've, they decided they're going to stop opening stores. They're only going to open 3 more stores this year.”
Framework
The Native D2C playbook: profitable on first purchase, scale on repeats
Suleman lays out the bootstrapped D2C playbook his brother used with Native deodorant: raise little capital, acquire customers so you break even or profit on the first purchase, then scale through high-margin repeat purchases you reinvest or take as distributions.
“The native playbook of raise little capital, um, focus on profitability, acquire customers,, so that you're breakeven on the first purchase or profitable on the first purchase and, scale through repeat purchases that are generating a ton of profit using that, to either reinvest in the business to launch new products or just take distributions.”
Steal thisEngineer your D2C unit economics so the first purchase breaks even, then live off repeat-purchase profit instead of VC.
Number
Grove Collaborative stock down 96%, worth less than the cash it raised
Grove Collaborative, a 10-year-old SF home-products subscription company that went public via SPAC, is down 96% to a $70M market cap, trading below its raised cash with sub-$1 shares, and only hit its first-ever profitable quarter by accepting declining revenue.
$70M
Grove Collaborative market cap (down 96%) · USD
“Grove Collaborative stock is down 96% and has a market cap of $70 million. It's worth, uh, you know, way less than the cash that they've raised. That's crazy. Yeah. And the stock is sub $1.”
Story
Suleman bought $1M of Squarespace stock and watched it drop to $250K
Suleman recounts buying $1 million of Squarespace stock, which fell to about $250,000 (a $750K paper loss) before turning around. He thinks the business is deeply undervalued but isn't sure it's a great stock.
“Uh, yeah, I bought $1 million of Squarespace stock. I still own it. I don't know if I made any money on it. I, at some point it turned into like $250,000 because Squarespace stock went down. So I'd lost $750,000, but I think it has since turned around.”
Idea
Buy 51% of Wish ($700M cash, $286M cap), shut it down, distribute the cash
The most interesting reply to Suleman's 'how to double $50M' tweet: buy enough of Wish (which has $700M in cash but only a $286M market cap, trading below cash) to force management to distribute the cash and wind the company down for a profit.
“try to go buy all of Wish or, you know, 51% of Wish. Um, Wish has $700 million in cash and its market cap is $286 million. So it's trading at less than cash. Um, so, you know, buy enough stock that you can, uh, convince management to distribute the stock, distribute the cash and shut the company down.”
Steal thisScreen for public companies trading below net cash, then buy in and pressure management to return the cash.
Take
Chamath made $1B+ across his SPACs without taking real risk
Suleman explains the SPAC sponsor economics: Chamath took companies like Opendoor and SoFi public via SPAC and, as sponsor, got a percentage of each company without putting real capital at risk, making over a billion dollars across an estimated 5-10 SPACs while retail investors lost money.
“so Chamath has made out like a bandit in— I think he's done 5 to 10 SPACs. He's made money in each one of those SPACs. And I think every other— how much? Um, more than a billion dollars across all of those, for sure.”
Take
$2M at 25 is worth more than $20M at 45
Suleman's contrarian take on money and timing: a smaller amount of money early in life is more valuable than far more later, because youth lets you do things money can't buy back at 45.
“$2 million when you're 25 is more valuable than $20 million when you're 45. Because you can basically do awesome stuff at 25 that you're not gonna be able to do at 45.”
Framework
Good Quest vs bad quest: don't waste brilliance on a slightly better mousetrap
Suleman summarizes a Founders Fund (Trae Stephens) essay: too many brilliant people chase 'bad quests' that make money fast via incremental improvements, when they should be on 'good quests' that solve the era's hardest, most noble problems.
“you're either focused on something that is noble and honorable and makes the world a better place, or in his language, you're focused on, um, short-term things that are going to make you rich quickly, uh, even if they're incremental improvements, um, so a slightly better mousetrap. And he basically is like, there is no, uh, we're wasting society and, um, people are wasting their energy. Brilliant people are wasting their brilliance on dumb problems, and we should be trying to solve the greatest problems that we have in our lifetimes.”
Steal thisAudit whether your work is a good quest (solving a hard, noble problem) or just a better mousetrap, and aim higher.
Framework
Evaluate ideas with two questions: would it be big if it worked, and can I get customers?
Suleman's idea-evaluation framework: instead of starting with reasons it will fail, start by asking 'if this works, what does the world look like and is it a big deal?' then 'can I get customers?' If both are yes, that's all you need to start; the how (science, manufacturing) can be figured out later.
“so I definitely start with the, uh, if this works, uh, what does the world look like? And, uh, can this be a big deal if it actually works?”
Steal thisVet a new idea by asking only two things first: would it be huge if it worked, and can you get customers.
Take
First-time founders obsess over product, second-time founders obsess over distribution
Suleman cites the Justin Kan line that first-time founders fixate on product while second-time founders fixate on distribution, plus the newer mindset of securing distribution first and building product after.
“there's this Justin Kan quote: first-time founders are obsessed with product, second-time founders are obsessed with distribution. Now I think there's this concept of Um, I just focus on distribution. The product comes after I have distribution.”
Idea
Skin a proven game with licensed IP (Family Guy Candy Crush)
Shaan's friend Sully took a proven, addictive game (Candy Crush) and reskinned it with Family Guy branding, then got Family Guy to promote it. The licensor earned millions in revenue from the game's success; he later did the same with Harry Potter.
“So he took a proven game, Candy Crush, that's like super addictive, amazing at monetizing, And he just skinned it with the Family Guy branding and got Family Guy to help promote it. And Family Guy got millions of dollars in revenue from the success of this game. And then eventually the same thing with Harry Potter.”
Steal thisTake a proven, addictive game mechanic and reskin it with a hungry IP brand that will co-promote it.
Tactic
The 'one whiteboard question' until you crack it
When the company was screwed unless they landed Family Guy, Sully put all chips on one strategy: every morning the whiteboard asked 'How do we go get the Family Guy rights?' They'd try an idea that day, fail, and come back the next day until it worked.
“So he just put all his chips into this one strategy and was like, okay, every morning when we come into the office, we just have a whiteboard. The whiteboard says, how do we go get the Family Guy rights? It's like, what can we do? And they would just come up with some ideas and then they would try it that day and then they would fail and they would come back again the next day and the next day.”
Steal thisWrite the single make-or-break question on a whiteboard and attack it every single day until it cracks.
Tactic
The 'one whiteboard question' until you crack it
When the company was screwed unless they landed Family Guy, Sully put all chips on one strategy: every morning the whiteboard asked 'How do we go get the Family Guy rights?' They'd try an idea that day, fail, and come back the next day until it worked.
“So he just put all his chips into this one strategy and was like, okay, every morning when we come into the office, we just have a whiteboard. The whiteboard says, how do we go get the Family Guy rights? It's like, what can we do? And they would just come up with some ideas and then they would try it that day and then they would fail and they would come back again the next day and the next day.”
Steal thisWrite the single make-or-break question on a whiteboard and attack it every single day until it cracks.
Billy
Suli sold a Facebook-apps company and poured it all into Facebook stock
Shaan marvels at Suli, who sold a forgettable Facebook-apps company for $1-3M, then recognized the platform underneath was not silly and aggressively bought pre-IPO Facebook stock plus Florida real estate while immediately starting his next business.
“He aggressively started buying up Facebook stock back then before it was public. And then he did. And then he went to, you know, in Florida and he bought a bunch of real estate. And I just thought, wow, this guy's really like conducting himself.”
Tactic
Say 'amazing' and ask another question
Shaan describes Suli's conversational hack: when someone says something crazy or counter to how you think, don't correct them, just say 'amazing' and ask a follow-up question. You learn far more than by asserting what you already know.
“And instead, this is the way. You're just like, you just laugh and you're like, amazing. Tell me, why do you do that? Yeah. You just say the word like amazing. And then you just like ask them a follow-up question. And I looked at that and I was like, wow, that's actually the best way to do this. 'Cause nobody wants to be told that they're wrong.”
Steal thisWhen someone says something wild, reply 'amazing, why do you do that?' instead of countering.
Idea
Crowdsourced org charts as a biz-dev dataset
Shaan and Suli want public org charts showing who's who and who reports to whom at big companies. Abreu flags The Org, a startup that raised $10M to crowdsource exactly this, which Shaan thinks is a valuable, chargeable dataset.
“there's a startup came out that raised $10 million to do exactly this called The Org. .com and, um, basically they're crowdsourcing it. So you go, like, I created the one for Twitch.”
Steal thisCrowdsource company org charts and charge for access to contacts and emails.
Framework
Stripe for Vice: build what the incumbent's terms forbid
Suli pitches building a payments processor for the businesses Stripe's terms of service forbid (marijuana, MLM, OnlyFans). The beauty: Stripe will never compete because it's written into their TOS, so you're safe from the incumbent.
“And what I love about Stripe for Vice is Stripe, which is an incredibly great business, will never compete with you because it's in their terms of service that like, we will never do these things.”
Steal thisFind an incumbent's TOS exclusions and build the business they've promised never to enter.
Idea
Decouple pharma R&D from the consumer brand
Suli predicts a next generation of consumer health brands (like Hims and Curology, but for diabetes, cholesterol, blood pressure) that own the brand and customer experience while someone else does the R&D.
“What if you could kind of decouple those things? So somebody else is doing the research and development, but you're building the consumer brand and consumer experience to go do that thing.”
Steal thisBuild a consumer brand on top of off-the-shelf medical R&D for serious chronic conditions.
Idea
Title insurance: the insurance that barely pays out
Suli flags title insurance as an easy-to-execute opportunity: unlike most insurance where ~85% of premiums get paid back out, title insurance pays out only single digits, yet every US real estate transaction pays thousands for it.
“Title insurance, that's not the case. It's like single digits or teens of the premium actually gets paid back out for title insurance. And every transaction, every real estate transaction in the United States pays for it and it costs thousands and thousands of dollars.”
Steal thisWhite-label the underwriting, charge 50% less, and run Google/Facebook ads for title insurance.
Idea
Clone a hot SaaS as a human-powered service for under $20K
Suli's million-dollar play: find a sexy, well-funded SaaS like Main Street (R&D tax credits), buy its Google ad, market a cheaper version with a beautiful website, and do the work with humans in the backend, reaching hundreds of thousands in ARR within a year.
“Like I'd go and buy the Main Street Google ad. Whenever somebody searches for Main Street, I would go put up my own service and market it as cheaper than Main Street in some way, have human beings that go do all of the work in the backend and have a beautiful looking website. And I think all of that will cost less than 10 or 20K, and in a year you'll have hundreds of thousands of dollars of ARR”
Steal thisBuy a funded SaaS competitor's brand keyword, undercut on price, and deliver with human labor first.
Idea
Clone a hot SaaS as a human-powered service for under $20K
Suli's million-dollar play: find a sexy, well-funded SaaS like Main Street (R&D tax credits), buy its Google ad, market a cheaper version with a beautiful website, and do the work with humans in the backend, reaching hundreds of thousands in ARR within a year.
“Like I'd go and buy the Main Street Google ad. Whenever somebody searches for Main Street, I would go put up my own service and market it as cheaper than Main Street in some way, have human beings that go do all of the work in the backend and have a beautiful looking website. And I think all of that will cost less than 10 or 20K, and in a year you'll have hundreds of thousands of dollars of ARR”
Steal thisBuy a funded SaaS competitor's brand keyword, undercut on price, and deliver with human labor first.
Take
Stick at entrepreneurship for a decade and you'll get rich
Suli argues entrepreneurship is a game where if you stay focused for a decade you will succeed; all his decade-long entrepreneur friends are now rich despite early failures. Shaan echoes Naval: efforts fail, but entrepreneurs rarely fail in the end.
“So I really believe that entrepreneurship is one of those things where if you stick at it for a decade, you will succeed. I don't know if you're going to be rich in year 9 or 7 or 2 or 1, But by year 10, I believe that you're gonna be rich if you actually stick with it”
Take
Most people wildly overestimate the risk of quitting their job
Sulaiman Ali argues that with sub-4% unemployment for skilled workers, quitting to start a company is low-risk because you can return to a job — often at a higher level, since companies value entrepreneurial experience.
“And I really think a lot— most people overestimate the risk that they're taking when they leave their job. The unemployment rate in the United States is sub-4% for people who are competent and skilled. Build in their line of work, it's easy for them to go back to their job. I think if I quit Microsoft, started a company and failed for a year or 2 or 3, I could go back to Microsoft and actually get a higher position than what I would have if I had stayed”
Steal thisReframe quitting as low-risk: worst case you return to your field, often at a higher level for having tried.
Story
A silly Facebook 'Superlatives' app hit 1 million users in a month
Ali and a Georgia Tech friend built a Facebook app where you assign joke superlatives to friends. They hoped for 100 users; within a month a million people used it and their servers melted.
“So we made a bunch of really funny superlatives, like most likely to wear a bunny costume for no apparent reason, most likely to get conned by old ladies in Las Vegas, things that we just thought were kind of offbeat and funny that you would want to give to a friend. And, uh, that friend would go to the app and give one back to you.— So we launched on the Facebook platform and within a month, 1 million people had used it and our servers were melting.”
Billy
Naval cold-calls a stranger and offers to wire $200K over lunch
Naval Ravikant called Ali out of the blue, cut through his hesitation by asking what it would take to get him on a plane tomorrow, and at lunch offered to wire $200K on the spot.
“And he cuts through all the bullshit in my head and says, what's it going to take to get you on a plane tomorrow to come meet me here in San Francisco? And I say, oh, okay, I can do that. Right. And so I buy a one-way ticket to San Francisco and come to come out here and meet with him.”
Story
Shervin Pishevar buys the company with a $2M number on a napkin
At a Facebook-apps conference, Shervin Pishevar wrote an acquisition number on a napkin and slid it over. Ali saw $2 million for a 9-month-old company and said yes instantly.
“So he writes a number on a napkin, turns it over, slides it to us. We look at it and we immediately say, okay, let's do this deal. Uh, so it was a $2 million number on the napkin and we'd started the company sort of 9 months ago.”
Number
$76K Microsoft salary to a $2M napkin offer in 9 months
Ali was making $76,000/year at Microsoft. Nine months after quitting, he was offered $2 million for his Facebook app company.
$76K
Microsoft annual salary · USD/year
“So at the time when I was at Microsoft, I was making $76,000 a year. —so he offered us $2 million for 9 months' worth of work.”
Story
TinyCo got its name from a $700 domain
Ali and Ian Spivey wanted a cheap, fun domain. Every good name was expensive, but TinyCo was available for $700 — suggested by engineer Bo Shi — so that became the company name.
“We were looking for domain names that were really cheap and fun. And TinyCo we bought for $700. All the other domain names and ideas that we had were very expensive. So that's how we arrived at the name TinyCo.”
Framework
Keith Rabois: list every way your startup could fail before writing code
Ali relays Keith Rabois's heuristic: before building, write a prioritized list of all the reasons your company could fail, then try to disprove each one — up front, not after you've launched.
“One thing I heard Keith Rabois say once is when you start a company, you should think about all of the reasons that it's not going to work and all of the reasons that it's going to fail. And you should start with that list, make a prioritized list, and try to prove that these aren't things that are going to make your company fail.”
Steal thisBefore writing a line of code, write a prioritized list of why the company could fail and try to disprove each.
Story
He left the office assuming the company was dead, then woke up to $400K in a day
When the Family Guy game got a weak App Store feature, Ali concluded the company was over, went home and slept. The next morning the stats showed $400,000 in revenue the prior day — it was working.
“I immediately go to look at our stats and I'm like, oh. We just generated $400,000 in revenue yesterday. So this is working. Holy fuck, this is actually working. We're winning. I run to the office and like rally the team and say, wow, this is working. We did it, guys.”
Number
TinyCo sold at ~$85M revenue and $15M EBITDA; Family Guy alone did $150-200M
At sale, TinyCo was doing about $85M in revenue, $15M EBITDA, with ~150 people. The Family Guy game alone went on to generate more than $150M, maybe $200M, in revenue.
$85M
Revenue at sale · USD/year
“The Family Guy game goes on to do more than $150, maybe $200 million in revenue at this point. We get an offer to buy the business. We hire an investment banker, this guy named Dick Filippini, who helps us get a couple more offers. We sell the business. The year that we sell, we do— we're doing about $85 million in revenue, $15 million in EBITDA, about 150 people at the time.”
Story
Microsoft job, and dad says quit and start a company
On his first day at Microsoft in 2004, Suleiman Ali called his dad from his new office phone. Instead of congratulating him, his dad told him to quit immediately and start his own company because 'that's where the action is at.'
“And he says, that's all great. You know, cool. You got an office and this is all great that you're excited about what you're doing, but really you should quit your job immediately and start your own company. That's really where the action is at.”
Framework
People overestimate the risk of quitting their job
Ali argues most people overestimate the risk of leaving a job to start a company. With sub-4% unemployment, a competent person can return easily, and the entrepreneurial experience often earns them a higher position than if they'd stayed.
“And I really think a lot— most people overestimate the risk that they're taking when they leave their job. The unemployment rate in the United States is sub-4%. For people who are competent and skilled in their line of work, it's easy for them to go back to their job. I think if I quit Microsoft, started a company and failed for a year or two or three, I could go back to Microsoft and actually get a higher position than what I would have if I had stayed”
Steal thisReframe quitting as low-risk: if you fail, your old industry will take you back, often at a higher level for having tried.
Story
A 2-week Facebook app hit 1 million users and melted the servers
Ali and a friend built a Facebook app called Superlatives in two weeks, hoping 100 friends would use it. Within a month a million people had used it and their database was melting because they knew nothing about architecture.
“So we launched on the Facebook platform, and within a month, a million people had used it, and our servers were melting. We didn't know anything about database architecture, so our database was melting. The app was going down all the time.”
Framework
Track frequency, not lifetime users — optimize the right metric
Ali's early apps optimized for total people who ever used them, not daily/monthly actives. The lesson: build something people use frequently over a long period, not something they touch once and send to ten friends.
“We were optimizing for something that people would touch, get 10 of their friends to use, but never come back to.”
Steal thisPick your north-star metric early — optimize for frequent, repeat usage (DAU/MAU), not cumulative installs.
Story
A $2M number on a napkin, 9 months in, and they said yes instantly
At a conference, investor Shervin Pishevar wrote a number on a napkin and slid it over. It was $2 million for a company they'd started 9 months earlier — they accepted immediately.
“So he writes a number on a napkin, turns it over, slides it to us. We look at it and we immediately say, okay, let's do this deal. So it was a $2 million number on the napkin and we'd started the company sort of 9 months ago.”
Framework
The roll-up: combine the top players to manufacture value
Shervin's playbook was a roll-up: raise a big check ($15M from a VC), buy the top 5 players in a space, and combine them so the $10M spent creates $50M-$100M of combined value.
“So you get somebody to back you and give you a big check. In this case, he'd gotten a venture capitalist to give him $15 million. He's going to use that $15 million to buy up the top 5 players in the space, combine them all together with a goal of, you know, that costs $10 million but creates $50 million or $100 million of value.”
Steal thisRoll up the top players in a fragmented space so the combined entity is worth far more than the sum of the acquisitions.
Number
Comcast bought DailyCandy newsletter for $400M
Ali cites DailyCandy, a newsletter for women, as inspiration for chasing the newsletter business — Comcast acquired it for $400 million.
$400M
Acquisition price · USD
“There's a company called Daily Candy, which was a newsletter for women that Comcast bought for $400 million.”
Number
TinyCo's first mobile game made $500K-$600K in month one
TinyCo's first game, Tap Resort, was pushed into the top 5 free apps via a Tapjoy marketing deal, generating $500,000-$600,000 of revenue in its first month from hundreds of thousands of downloads.
$600K
First-month revenue · USD/month
“So we get hundreds of thousands of downloads immediately, and those downloads are turning into revenue. So in the first month of launch, we generate $500,000-$600,000 of revenue.”
Take
Never lie to yourself about reality
Ali's core lesson: founders constantly lie to themselves about market reality because they want to please investors and keep employees excited. The strength of a team is admitting the reality you live in has changed and acting immediately.
“I think that one of the things you need to do as an entrepreneur is never lie to yourself about reality. It's very easy for an entrepreneur to lie to themselves about reality, especially when they've got investors that they always want to say the nice thing to or the right thing to, especially when you've got employees and you always want to be— your employees to be excited about your business and where you're going.”
Steal thisWhen the market shifts, name the new reality out loud and change course immediately — don't let optimism for investors and staff blind you.
Take
Never lie to yourself about reality
Ali's core lesson: founders constantly lie to themselves about market reality because they want to please investors and keep employees excited. The strength of a team is admitting the reality you live in has changed and acting immediately.
“I think that one of the things you need to do as an entrepreneur is never lie to yourself about reality. It's very easy for an entrepreneur to lie to themselves about reality, especially when they've got investors that they always want to say the nice thing to or the right thing to, especially when you've got employees and you always want to be— your employees to be excited about your business and where you're going.”
Steal thisWhen the market shifts, name the new reality out loud and change course immediately — don't let optimism for investors and staff blind you.
Framework
List every way you'll fail before writing a line of code
A Keith Rabois heuristic Ali adopted: before starting, write a prioritized list of every reason your company could fail and try to disprove each one up front — not after you've built and launched the product.
“One thing I heard Keith Rabois say once is when you start a company, you should think about all of the reasons that it's not going to work and all of the reasons that it's going to fail. And you should start with that list, make a prioritized list, and try to prove that these aren't things that are going to make your company fail. And you want to do that as the first thing.”
Steal thisWrite a pre-mortem memo listing every reason your idea could fail, then try to disprove each one before you build anything.
Story
How TinyCo won the Family Guy license by asking 'what more can we do?' daily
Competing against EA and Zynga for the Family Guy game license, Ali asked his BD lead every single day what more they could do. They wrote a memo on why EA was wrong, and pulled board member Marc Andreessen and Hollywood's Tom Rothman to vouch for them — winning the deal.
“So every day I would go to Andrew and say, what more can we do to get the deal done today? And he was like, there's no more. I have nothing. There's nothing we could come up with. And I was like, no, we need to come up with something more.”
Steal thisWhen chasing a make-or-break deal, ask 'what more can we do today?' relentlessly until the other side is afraid to say no.
Story
Signed a $10M license with $2M in the bank, then laid off 70 people
TinyCo signed a Family Guy license owing Fox $10M within 30 days while holding only $2M. They got a ~$10M SVB loan to pay Fox, then laid off 70-80 of their ~160 employees one at a time in a single brutal day.
“When we sign the deal with Fox, we sign a deal that says that we're going to pay them $10 million for the license and that we're going to pay them $10 million within 30 days. We have $2 million in our bank account.”
Story
The Iron Man heartbeat: the founder's conviction keeps the company alive
During the near-bankruptcy, Ali compared himself to Iron Man's artificial heart — the only thing keeping the company alive was employees seeing his conviction in the office, and if his heartbeat stopped for one beat, everyone would quit.
“And in Iron Man, he's got sort of this artificial heart that's keeping him alive. And I felt like during this whole time period, the only thing that was keeping the company alive was people seeing me in the office, people seeing the level of conviction that I had, and that, uh, if my heart stopped beating for one beat, the company would die and, uh, everyone would quit and give up.”
Story
Put his last $1M into the company knowing he'd likely never see it again
Out of cash, Ali took a $1M windfall from his MoPub investment and put it into TinyCo behind $10M of SVB debt — financially the wrong call, but he needed to turn the card over and see if there was an ace in the hole.
“And financially, I felt like it was the wrong decision to make. But emotionally I just felt like I need to see this through. I have come this far. Just need to see if this game is successful when we launch it. And I can't give up. And if what it takes is me putting this money in and losing it to find, to turn that card over and find out whether there's an ace in the hole or not, I gotta do it.”
Story
Went home and gave up — woke up to $400K in day-one revenue
On launch day, a bad Apple featuring spot made Ali conclude the company was dead. He went home, watched Netflix, and fell asleep — then woke to discover the game had generated $400,000 in revenue the prior day. It was working.
“So I fall asleep, I wake up the next day, I immediately go to look at our stats and I'm like, oh, we just generated $400,000 in revenue yesterday. So this is working. Holy fuck. This is actually working. We're winning.”
Number
TinyCo sold at $85M revenue and $15M EBITDA
The Family Guy game went on to do $150-$200M in revenue. TinyCo sold the year it was doing about $85 million in revenue, $15 million in EBITDA, with roughly 150 employees.
$85M
Annual revenue at sale · USD/year
“We sell the business. The year that we sell, we do— we're doing about $85 million in revenue, $15 million in EBITDA, about 150 people at the time.”
Story
The Native deodorant smell test: run a mile, sniff each other's armpits
Ali and his brother started Native by buying deodorants off Etsy, applying them under each armpit, running a mile, then sniffing each other's pits to find which one worked. Native was later sold to Procter & Gamble in a 9-figure deal.
“So we put some of the deodorant that we bought from Etsy under each of our armpits. We go run a mile and then we sniff each other's armpit to see, is this deodorant actually good? Highly scientific. It's totally unscientific, but also very effective.”
Steal thisValidate a physical product with the crudest possible real-world test before building any brand around it.
Prediction
Pending
Genetics and body-hacking will define the next 20 years
Asked what he'd build at 21 today, Ali predicts the next 20 years will be about hacking our bodies and genetics — designing babies before birth and eliminating disease at the genetic level.
“I think the next 20 years is going to be about hacking our bodies, hacking genetics, being able to sort of design babies before they're born, eliminate disease at the genetic level, that kind of thing.”
Prediction
Pending
Engineering is becoming a commodity; well-rounded founders win next
Ali's contrarian belief: engineering is becoming a commodity in Silicon Valley, and the next generation of entrepreneurs will be well-rounded generalists rather than necessarily technical founders.
“One of the things I believe is that engineering is becoming a commodity in Silicon Valley. And that the next generation of entrepreneurs are going to be not necessarily technical, but people who are more well-rounded in their skill set.”