EPISODE

Is Time Out a Billion Dollar Business? - Plus Russian Stocks, Right-Wing Media Sites, and More

Mar 09, 2022·18:00·Sam & Shaan·Listen·AppleSpotify
0:009:0018:00
14 moments · 42 paragraphs · synced to the second
SAM

So listen to this. You don't get out of your house, so this maybe won't mean anything to you, but have you ever heard of—

SHAAN

I know Time Out. I know Time Out. I've read Time Out.

SAM

So Time Out started in the '60s. You know that? It's from the '60s. It's like been around forever. And it started as like basically a magazine and then a blog where it's like local markets. But what they're most known for now— have you ever heard of the Time Out Market?

SHAAN

No. What is that? Okay, so they do like restaurant stuff, right?

SAM

Yes. So tell me what you know about Time Out.

SHAAN

So I lived in London and I think there I used to pick up Time Out and I lived in Boulder, Colorado. And it's like, you know, if you want to see kind of like what new restaurants there are, kind of like get reviews of restaurants, it was like, it's like your friend who's a foodie who will like tell you what's up. Like, oh, you got to check this place out. Oh, it's great. This is a great place for a date. And it kind of— and then they would release it like, I felt like a lot, like maybe every week or month or something. It was like pretty frequently updated.

SAM

And I think it's free, right?

SHAAN

Use it for that. Yeah, it was like free. It was just like sitting around everywhere. And I just— I can visually see that red. It's like a red logo, right? Timeout.

SAM

Yeah. So it's a pretty timeless brand. It's been around for a long time. It started in England, actually. So if you lived in London, it was probably most popular there. But basically in 2014 or maybe 2018, they started doing this new concept called a Timeout restaurant. Timeout Market. So Google Timeout Market and you'll see it. But basically what they do is they went into— I think the first one was in Lisbon where I was. This is— I went to it when I was in Lisbon, but I've gone to it in Miami. They have 7 markets now. But basically what they did was they went to like a touristy place and they found like the 20 most popular restaurants based off of their blogs and like what all the touristy stuff like, oh, you got to go to Portugal so you can taste the coffee from here. A croissant from here and like some fish from here. And they basically just created a food court like in the middle of the city and they gave 20 restaurants different stalls. And so when you go to this different city, I went to it in Miami. Miami was cool because like, you know, Miami, they say you got to get a Cubano from this place. You got to try the Cuban coffee from this place.

SHAAN

Yeah, it's like, ah, I'm getting in a cab just to go get the sandwich.

SAM

Yes. And so what they did was they set it up so you can go to this one food court and you could try all of the famous vendors and the famous restaurants. And I went in Lisbon, I went in Portugal, and it was awesome. Awesome. And it was packed. This place was packed. And Time Out, I, like you, remember Time Out being this, like, free thing. And I'm like, that's kind of neat. Like, I don't have brand affinity towards this. But when I went, this place was jam-packed with young people and like, like young hip looking people. And Time Out, I didn't think as a young hip brand. And I started researching this. And so Time Out, they're publicly traded and their market cap has been obliterated in the last 3 years because A, their digital media like went to shit because it was mostly restaurants advertising with them. And B, the way that they— a lot of investors thought that they were going to grow and get big was through these markets, which also were basically closed down all of 2020. But they're killing it right now. This place was packed. And so basically they have a $168 million market cap. In 2019, they did about £70 million in revenue. So what's that like? Is that times 2 for dollars? Is that like $130 million?

SHAAN

It was, yeah. I think— I don't know if it's still that.

SAM

So somewhere north. But in 2021, they only did $40 million in revenue.

SHAAN

However, 1.3x now.

SAM

1.3x. Okay. So that's— they were doing the equivalent of over $100 million in revenue. But check this out. In 2019, pre-pandemic, their TimeOut markets did $23 million in revenue. 2020, only $12 million. But they only have 7 locations, which means each one of these food courts does $3 million in revenue. And the reason why— so they have them in Lisbon, Miami, New York, Boston, Chicago, Montreal, Dubai, and they've got some coming up in Prague and a couple other places. The reason why this is interesting is, A, this is just awesome. I think this is an amazing example of a company that has a digital media presence that's doing a really good job of diversifying. Two, this is a really sick business because if they're only in 7 markets and they're doing, you know, $23 million in revenue, like there's easily a future where you could imagine 50 or 80 of these in, you know, a variety of like, you know, touristy cities. It's kind of cool, right?

SHAAN

Yeah. This is one where the actual experience sounds fucking awesome. And so I kind of want it to be a great business and I, I bet in actuality it's like a good business, not a great one. But it also feels like something that kind of anybody could spin up as a side hustle. Um, you know, like if you're in Durham, North Carolina, there's every city has like, you know, 15, 20 spots that are like, oh, the, the ice cream over here and the, you know, the, the, the sandwich over here and oh, you haven't tried the bonbons over here, whatever. Right? Like, Every place has that collection of stuff and then it becomes kind of prestigious to be picked. And all you're doing is basically making a pop-up tent that's like a food court, but instead of, you know, Sbarro and Cinnabon, you're putting in like cool hip places, right? In fact, this place should actually just have a Cinnabon every 4 stalls cuz that's what people really want. But you know, besides that, you know, I feel like this is a great, this is a great little side hustle that I think anybody who's a foodie could create. Um, I do pretty well with.

SAM

I thought it was so fun. And when I went there, I was like, oh, this is brilliant. And so I ended up going there when I was in Portugal. I wanted to go there just like every day. I'm like, let's just go. Like, I'd rather just go here every day. It tastes all like a little bit of food. I'll spend $10 here.

SAM

Yes, it's awesome. And I went to this and I realized how much fun I had. I went to— I did the one in Miami too. I would— I'll totally do the one in New York. But I thought this was such an interesting, basic, simple concept and they pulled it off and it was really fun. And I think that this is actually— I think it's like, I don't know if this could be an amazing business. I think that Time Out, though, they could be worth over $1 billion in the next 2 years once they like open up. Right now they're only worth £168 million. That's pounds. So it's like $200 million.

SHAAN

Sounds like a stock tip. I feel like we got a stock tip here.

SAM

I'm not saying that.

SHAAN

Sampar's flashing the buy signal hard. Analyst Sampar projects timeout. I want this to get aggregated by like some random Reuters, you know, like, you know, Motley Fool is going to like turn this into, into an article here. All right. And then I forgot to tell you this, but this is the most important thing. I can't believe we didn't talk about this earlier, to be honest with you, because if you're listening to this and you like what you're hearing right now, and you haven't gone and subscribed to the My First Million podcast wherever you get your podcasts, then that's the thing you got to do. There's nothing more important than doing that right now. And don't do it because I said to do it. Do it because you want to do it. Do it because that's who you are.

SAM

Would you buy— so, uh, would you buy any Russian stocks right now? They're getting crushed, obviously.

SAM

I'm on board with that. But let's like, let's say beyond that, let's say like you act, let's say you're Russian and you're actually in favor of this war and you're just crazy and you're in, do you think that would you have faith in the Russian stock market?

SHAAN

Well, a lot of these were getting close to zero. Like, uh, you know, like, like real businesses were like dropping, you know, 50, 70, 80%. And so, yeah, you know, you're getting tremendous value. So if you're a citizen there and you're a believer in, you know, you don't want to be in the local currency anyway. So you need to— you'd rather— if you just told me you can either stay in the ruble, or you can take your ruble and turn it into something else, I'm going to always take something else. And their options on something else got cut off. Like, okay, you can't get dollars, you can't get crypto, you can't get— you can't get different things. So what are you going to buy? And, you know, because they were limited in many ways across those— some, like, there was like, you know, they stopped the amount of rubles you could sell. And so, you know, if you could get into stocks, hey, it's better than— better than staying in the in the paper.

SHAAN

All right. I got a couple of things for you. But first, did you see this thing about the right-wing site that went viral? Which one? Okay, so check out this. I wrote this thing on the— on our right-wing site goes viral. It's a link to a tweet. So this guy, Jed Legume, which is just a— got to be a fake name. Judd Legume. He says a far-right website launched 36 days ago and it's already more popular on Facebook than The Washington Post. The DC Inquirer has executed an audacious scheme to manipulate Facebook's algorithm and ad platform, and Meta is letting them get away with it. And so basically, the article talks about this publication that was created. So let me— it's called the DC Inquirer. And they'll have articles that are like, you know, the, you know, like, whatever, the Freedom Convoy is on the verge of victory in Canadian provinces, right? And they will get a bunch of people to post about it. And what they showed was that— and so they, so they got like all these right-wing pages that are like, impeach Joe Biden, or I love America, keep Texas red, save America, and they were all posting the same thing. And so that should be kind of like a space, like a coordinated kind of like ad campaign or whatever. And it started to get really, really big. So the page Um, this guy Brandon Gill created the page and, you know, it has like, I don't know, over a million, um, you know, like a million followers or something like very quickly. And it's all run under this, like, uh, yeah, it's basically like this, this right-wing thing that got popular. Now you've told me about this before, which is that extremely conservative or extremely liberal sites will get very popular very quickly, especially on Facebook. But, and I was pretty surprised to see this.

SAM

Yeah. There's a but here. Liberal side, like, yeah, obviously polarized on one side does well. Conservative does significantly better because this is a principle that is always true, which is a group of people that feel downtrodden, like, feel like they're underdog, they band together and they get in and outrage does more for sharing. And in America, so there's like groups like minorities, women, um, a lot of like far-right conservatives because media is typically left, they think, you know, our voice is being stomped out, and so they band together. So if you go to HuffPo and you go and look at the comments section, and then go to Breitbart and look at how many comments— if you go to— have you ever been to Breitbart.com?

SHAAN

Yeah, I've been there.

SAM

Go to Breitbart and just like click a random article and look how many comments. Sometimes it's 20,000 comments. It's crazy. So I totally believe it with this website. And I'm— by the way, I'm looking up DC Inquirer. I Googled it. I don't see a website. Is it literally just a—

SHAAN

so basically, it looks like what he's done is basically created like a web of like accounts that are kind of all the same. So, so basically, it's like there's the guy's personal account, this guy Brandon Gill, and his bio is like, you know, I'm the founder and editor of DCInquirer.com. So that's the, that's the URL, DC Inquirer with an E, E-N-Q. And it's like his bio is patriot, period. Proud West Texan, period. Businessman, financier, rancher, conservative, Christian, Dartmouth, husband. It's like bingo. You know, you get, you hit all the words. Congratulations. By the way, Sam, you are also rancher. Yeah. You're also husband.

SAM

I like most all those things.

SHAAN

Proud Texan. Yeah.

SAM

Patriot. Is he also a fan of, fan of corn dogs? Because this guy's like perfect corn dog aficionado.

SHAAN

You may have a best bud here in the way.

SAM

So, so then you like Tupac too.

SHAAN

So then he's got like basically a whole bunch of other pages. So I think Red Wave, I Love America, all those pages I mentioned, I think those are his pages. So they've all been built up like one's at a million, one's at 650,000, one's at 200,000. And he's running ads that were, are like, if you go look at Brandon Gill's ads in the ad library, Uh, so if you've never done this before, by the way, it's amazing. Like one of the best tools available to any internet person is if you go to facebook.com and then you, or just Google Facebook ad library, and then you can look up the ads of any brand, what ads they're running. So if you look at the brands he's running, it'll be like a picture of Joe Biden, uh, as like talking at a rally, like kind of confronting somebody. And it says, if you want Joe Biden removed from office, tap the big thumbs up in the right corner. And so it's like, you know, it's clearly like running political ads that are not marked as political ads basically. So this guy's point was like, oh, they're— he's getting away with it. You know, Facebook, you know, you need to shut this down. What I thought was interesting was, dude, this would be an amazing little prank. Like, if I'm Mischief or I'm just like someone out there with like a shithead with too much time on their hands, here's what I would do. I'd basically do the same thing. I'd make an extremely conservative, uh, site and I would put out some articles and I would get the traction and I would do this for like 2 months. And then the third month I would just pull the rug on everybody and I would just switch to an extremely liberal LGBTQ website with the same email list. I'll just switch everything overnight once I get all these people subscribed, which just for sure would make the news. Um, there's this, and then, and then that story of the prank pulled would create a news cycle of its own. And then you could basically go get any job you want in any marketing, PR, or whatever agency, cuz you could be like, yeah, I just, I did this. Like, so instead of sending your resume out and cover letter, like, do a stunt that shows your knowledge of how the internet works, how media works, how PR works, how marketing works. And, um, you know, you'll impress a lot of people with your ability to like pull off a stunt like that. That's actually how BuzzFeed started too. Uh, was Jonah Peretti would— was pulling stunts like this. I think he did it with Nike. Nike. Yeah. What was it again?

SAM

I don't remember exactly, but he, uh, basically said he revealed like a, a fake Easter egg. So he said like, I think it was like, if you do something with this pair of shoes, something happens, something like that.

SHAAN

No, no, no, no. It was, it was an email thing. It was like a sweatshop thing. Okay. So here's what it was. Oh, so he goes to Nike, had this feature, personalized ID, where you could like write your name. I don't know if you did this. I did this. I got my name on my shoes. I thought it was so cool. He goes, so he writes an email, uh, you know, from, from Jonah Peretti to nikeidpersonalize@nike.com. He goes, greetings, my order was canceled because My personal Nike ID does not, but my, oh no, my order was canceled, but my Nike ID does not violate any of the outlined rules in your message. So the personal ID on my custom shoes was the word sweatshop. Sweatshop is not a name of another party's trademark, the name of an athlete, blank, or profanity. I chose the ID because I wanted to remember the toil and labor of the children that made my shoes. Could you please ship them to me immediately? Thanks and Happy New Year, Jonah Peretti. And so then he sent that. Obviously that's not going to go viral as an email, but he screenshots that and started getting it and put it out there. And then that got like kind of like a big news storm, uh, going. And he was doing stunts like this before creating BuzzFeed and kind of showed this guy knows how to make the internet, you know, how to tickle the internet. And he, uh, he, he, he did it well.

SAM

One of my favorite things to watch on YouTube is these videos where people will do one of two things. They'll go— it's usually always political stuff. And they go to someone and they say, isn't this outrageous? This person said this thing. And they'll read what that person said and go, you don't agree with that, do you? And they go, oh no, I don't agree with that at all. Like, I'm a conservative. There's no way I would be like, oh, well, this is what Donald Trump said. Or like, you know, like they'll do something like that where they'll like make you disagree with something that you— whatever. And then they'll do— or they'll do it and they'll say, do you agree with this? And they'll read out like a speech. 'from Hitler,' and they're like, 'Yeah, I totally agree with that.' I'm like, 'Oh, Hitler said—' So it's not— it's— it's— it's— and it's actually not that fair to do that.

SHAAN

But well, they also go to 100 people and 96 have like a normal reaction, and then the 4 that fall for it, it's like they stitch those together and it just makes it look like everybody at this Trump rally feel— is dumb and makes this mistake. And it's like they kind of make New Yorkers or rally, you know, participants or teens or millennials on college campuses, they'll make them look like idiots because they'll— right. All you got to do is you talk to enough people, you're going to catch 5 people who fall for the trick, right? It's like Borat, right? Like when he does these tricks or these stunts, they do go viral and they do make, you know, the other party look bad. But they don't show you all the people that didn't fall for it and don't believe that and didn't say something stupid in response.